How to use Player Prop Tool

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Video Tutorial #

What the Player Prop Tool does #

The Player Prop Tool uses data from our latest run of 10,000 simulations of each NFL game to help you make over/under choices.

How to use the Player Prop Tool #

1. Select a Player
   • Only players who have projected market share for the current week are listed
2. Select a Stat Category
3. Set your betting line
4. Adjust the Over/Under odds to match your sportsbook
   • The odds default to -110. Leave this alone if you are playing something like Prize Picks or Thrive.
5. Click Calculate

The tool will output a graph of the distribution of our 10,000 simulations vs the betting line you supplied, and a calculation of the implied odds, actual odds, and our guess of whether the over/user is a good/bad bet based on the Kelly Criterion.

Reading the Output #

What is the Kelly Criterion? #

Read more about the Kelly Criterion and how it is calculated on Wikipedia